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Originally published: Forbes 19 Aug 2005
Original link:
http://www.forbes.com/home/management/2005/08/18/cramer-cnbc-madmoney-cz_pl_0819cramer.html
Funny Money
Peter Lattman,
08.19.05, 6:00 AM ET
Aug. 2 was a lackluster day in the trading of
high-flying tech stock Syneron Medical. It barely budged, dropping
a mere 9 cents to $40.85. After-hours action also looked blasé until 5:33
P.M. EST, when "freedompartner" posted this on Yahoo!: "Cramer said
buy ELOS before earnings: Just finished taping the show. He loves ELOS."
The message referred to market pundit James Cramer and his wildly
successful CNBC show, Mad Money.
Syneron (nasdaq:
ELOS -
news -
people ) began moving higher and trading picked up. That night on
Mad Money, which CNBC tapes from 4:30 P.M. to 5:30 P.M. EST and
broadcasts from 6:00 P.M. to 7:00 P.M. EST, Cramer indeed touted Syneron's
laser products' ability to smooth away cellulite. "I am sticking the
proverbial neck out" and telling you to buy ELOS now before earnings, he
exclaimed. The stock spiked to $45.46 in after-hours trading on volume of
300,000 shares.
What happened? Apparently someone called Mad
Money during taping for the Q&A segment, heard the tout while on hold
and disseminated the information on the Web before the show aired, against
CNBC's admonition.
A taped recording warns callers that they will
hear the show and must agree to not disclose or trade on information
discussed prior to that information being mentioned during the during the
6 P.M. airing. "This is extremely important," counsels the recording, "and
if you cannot abide by this rule, please hang up now."
Transgressors can, of course, ignore the
instructions, remain on the line and spread Cramer's picks. Should that
happen, says a CNBC spokesperson, that person "would be banned from
participating in all future programs, and the network will consider
appropriate legal action based on the specific facts involved."
As it happens, viewers who bought ELOS got burned
two days later. Syneron's earnings disappointed, and the stock fell back
to its earlier level. On Thursday, it was trading at $36.83.
For two decades, Cramer, 50, has told America
what to buy and sell in print (SmartMoney, Time, New York), on the
Web (TheStreet.com), on a radio show and now on TV. He also ran a hedge
fund, Cramer Berkowitz, that claimed a 24% annual return, after fees, over
15 years. He burned out and retired in 2001.
Since its March debut, Mad Money has
become CNBC's second-highest-rated program, in what was previously its
lowest-rated time slot (except for the 5 A.M. show), drawing nearly
200,000 viewers five nights per week. The show amounts to Cramer being
Cramer--as raw and uncensored as ever. He feverishly bounces around the
studio, rants at the camera and bangs on buttons blaring the sound effects
of cash registers and bowling pins, growling bears and raging bulls.
He's also spawned a burgeoning subculture of
trading types looking to make a quick buck off of his calls. With a flat
market and dormant volatility, brokers and traders are desperate for
anything that moves stocks, and in Mad Money they've found their
Messiah.
Aside from Yahoo!'s (nasdaq:
YHOO -
news -
people ) boards, which are replete with Cramer references, there are
at least three independent Web sites devoted to Mad Money.
(Cramer's TheStreet.com also devotes substantial coverage to the show.)
It's not just chat-roomers paying attention. Brokerages such as Cantor
Fitzgerald include Cramer's picks in their research notes, which are
distributed to mutual fund and hedge fund clients.
"At first, we didn't cover Mad Money's
picks, but our customers kept talking about the show's impact," says
Damon Southward of Briefing.com, a news service used by investors that
now includes the show's content in its product. "We need to stay on top of
volatility, and if there's one thing Cramer creates, it's volatility."
Southward says that while he's seen other
commentators affect markets, such as Dan Dorfman, Business Week's
Gene Marcial and TV host Louis Rukeyeser--Cramer's show has
a more widespread impact.
"Cramer weighs in on dozens of stocks every
show," explains Southward. "Increasing the show's effect is a robust
after-hours trading market--viewers buy and sell stocks while watching the
show."
Earlier in his career, Cramer raised eyebrows as
one of the first money managers to write about stocks. In 1995, the SEC
investigated whether he broke any laws writing columns about his holdings.
Cramer was exonerated, but disclosures and disclaimers were added to his
stories. They have followed Cramer ever since, but none as long-winded as
Mad Money's. In the show's opening minute, a 263-word disclaimer
scrolls down the screen (in a tiny font). Callers are subjected to an even
lengthier two-minute disclosure recording.
Despite the cautious measures, it appears CNBC is
still grappling with the mysterious ways in which Mad Money moves
stocks. On Aug. 8 around noon, CNBC announced on its Web site that
Charles Goodson, chief executive of PetroQuest Energy (nasdaq:
PQUE -
news -
people ), was going to be Cramer's guest that evening. PetroQuest
promptly surged 7% on four times its average volume. Chief executive
appearances are typically positive, and Cramer is bullish on oil stocks.
As it turned out, Mad Money had booked
Goodson for the following Monday. Informed by Forbes of the error,
the network removed Goodson's name from the Web site and canceled his
appearance. It also decided to discontinue posting Mad Money guests
on its Web site prior to the show's broadcast.
"CNBC will continue to take steps to ensure that
the integrity of the program remains intact," says a CNBC spokesperson.
While it might be able to protect the show's
integrity, CNBC can't control whether the show achieves its stated
goal--making people money.
Last Monday after a weeklong Hawaiian vacation, a
bronzed Cramer returned to CNBC's studios as unhinged as ever. He
immediately trumpeted his pick of the week--Dick's Sporting Goods (nyse:
DKS -
news
-
people ), the athletic-gear and apparel chain.
"This is the best story you've never heard of,"
he enthused, urging viewers to buy Dick's ahead of its earnings
announcement the next morning.
Although Cramer warned his disciples only to buy
with a limit order to prevent the stock's spiking, Dick's popped 7% to
$41.93, trading 300,000 shares during Mad Money. By comparison,
Cisco Systems (nasdaq:
CSCO -
news -
people ), which traded 60 million shares in Monday's regular session,
traded only 12,000 shares between 6 P.M. and 7 P.M.
Tuesday morning, Dick's sliced its 2005 earnings
forecast, and the stock tanked, closing down 20% at $32.90.
Enraged, Mad Money viewers flooded Dick's
Yahoo! message board with anti-Cramer tirades, many of them--there were
over 1,800 posts that day--unsuitable for reprinting on a family Web site.
That evening, Cramer--with an "Eating Crow"
graphic prominently displayed behind him--issued a mea culpa,
repeating five times "I was wrong." But don't dwell on your mistakes, he
exhorted: "Bottom line: You have to move on and get back into the game!"
Many Wall Street watchers don't think it's a
game.
"Cramer's moving the markets like the star
Internet analysts did during the tech bubble," says Jacob Zamansky, an
attorney representing individual investors. "He's got a big following of
people who think they're acting responsibly by following Cramer's
advice--but in reality he's dangerous to their health."
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